What will the margin of victory be in the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
11
Ṁ415
resolved Jul 4
ResolvedN/A
Resolved
N/A
More than 6 points
Resolved
N/A
More than 7 points
Resolved
N/A
More than 8 points
Resolved
N/A
More than 9 points
Resolved
N/A
More than 10 points

Resolves based on the ranked-choice voting margin of victory in the final round.

  • Update 2025-07-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has identified a mistake in the market's title (general election vs. the intended primary election) and has requested that this market be canceled (resolved to N/A).

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@traders It looks like I made a mistake in the title. I intended this market to be about the primary, but the title says this market is about the general election. I assume some traders bet based on the title, and it would be wrong to them to resolve based on the primary (which would mean all options resolve YES). I think the only option I have here is to cancel this market, which I have asked an admin to do. I will launch a correctly titled market shortly.

@evan Extend until certification (July 15)?

@HenryRodgers Also, I'm assuming in context that this is for the democratic primary, but it doesn't say that anywhere in the description. Might want to specify!

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