Will Steven N Austad win his bet against Jay Olshansky on whether there will be a 150 year old human by 2150?
Basic
6
Ṁ3962151
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
In the below market, I added a year 2150 expiration date for the purpose of benchmarking such questions as this. https://manifold.markets/HarrisonNathan/what-is-manifolds-yield-curve?r=SGFycmlzb25OYXRoYW4
Related questions
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
90% chance
Will William MacAskill win the bet he places on this question?
61% chance
Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?
25% chance
Will a human win the annual 2025 Human vs Horse "Marathon" Race?
43% chance
Will Steve Austad become centenarian?
34% chance
Will anyone be at least 140 years old by 2072?
31% chance
Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?
11% chance
Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?
46% chance
If Steve Horvath were to get in a cage fight match with Steve Austad, would he win?
48% chance
Will a human being live to be 150 years old or older before the end of 2100?
27% chance