Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
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55
Ṁ14k
Jan 31
14%
chance

Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA

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(noting that I'd make a lot more mana off this if I pretended to have dumb culture war reasons for my predictions, and that this aspect of prediction markets makes me uncomfortable)

I assume you mean "2025 will be the hottest year so far", as in, compared to the years prior?

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