If anything, support and trust in Russian President Vladimir Putin has increased since the war in Ukraine started at the end of February 2022.

According to the independent Levada Center polling agency, 81% of Russians surveyed in January 2022 said they approve of Putin’s actions as president. In January 2023 it was 82% and in December 2023 it was 83%

This market will resolve to YES, if in any month of 2024, survey indicates Putin's approval rating lower than 75%.

[PS regardless of any methodology change]

resolution: Levada Center, https://www.levada.ru/en/ratings/