Will these actors ever win an Oscar??
Will these actors ever win an Oscar??
Plus
33
Ṁ28912090
93%
Timothée Chalamet
84%
Bradley Cooper
73%
Ryan Gosling
73%
Edward Norton
72%
Matt Damon
72%
Willem Dafoe
67%
Michelle Williams
65%
Scarlett Johansson
62%
Samuel L. Jackson
59%
Mark Ruffalo
56%
Zendaya
52%
Amy Adams
50%
Chris Evans
48%
Tom Cruise
40%
Helena Bonham Carter
37%
Keira Knightley
36%
Steve Carell
35%
Johnny Depp
35%
Liam Neeson
20%
Bill Murray
This list includes Hollywood's most celebrated actors, that haven't won an Academi Award... yet.
Will they EVER win an Oscar?
This will resolve YES on these people, which win at least one Oscar in their lifetime.
Note: only Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor categories are considered in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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answered1y
Robert Downey Jr.
answered1y
Johnny Depp
bought Ṁ5 Johnny Depp NO1y
safe to say he's missed this boat unless he goes back to making quality films at some stage
@BrunoParga no, he was 'only' nominated.
Daniel Day-Lewis has won that year
https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2013
Edit: Ignore this I see the addendum now
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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