Will OpenAI Sora release to the public before the next GPT version, 4.5 / 5?
Will OpenAI Sora release to the public before the next GPT version, 4.5 / 5?
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Ṁ18kresolved Dec 9
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First one to be available to the public, for free or for pay. Specifically in the United States. Not a closed beta or a waitlisted beta, must be available to everyone. Announcement of future public availability doesn't count.
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I think gpt4o means this should definitely resolve to "no."
bought Ṁ10 YES12mo
I believe that Sora will be released by June for public. They are developing it very fast. I also believe that they will release GPT 4.5/5 by the end of September or December.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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