Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human
Premium
17
Ṁ29132028
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot physically makes contact with the lunar surface before the next human does, and NO otherwise. Resolution will be based on official announcements from space agencies (NASA, CNSA, etc.) and verified mission data.
Key context:
China's Chang'e-8 mission plans to send a humanoid robot to the Moon's south pole in 2028
NASA's Artemis 3, the first crewed Moon landing since Apollo 17, is targeted for September 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
48% chance
Will a humanoid robot walk on the moon before an animal does
77% chance
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
70% chance
Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?
58% chance
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
57% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?
67% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2029?
57% chance
Will a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living?
74% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2028?
24% chance
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
27% chance