Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Plus
5
Ṁ9622028
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On 23 October 1991, Clarence Thomas took the oaths of office to become a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States of America. If he remains in office until 20 May 2028, then he will break William O. Douglas's record court tenure of 36 years and 209 days.
Born on 23 June 1948, Justice Thomas will be 79 years, 10 months, and 27 days old on 20 May 2028.
Resolves YES if Clarence Thomas remains a sitting justice for at least 36 years and 210 days. If served consecutively, this will occur on 20 May 2028. If he retires, returns to the Supreme Court, and then breaks the record, I will eat my hat.
Resolves NO immediately upon his death if before 20 May 2028 (Eastern Time).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Justice Clarence Thomas be impeached by the 118th Congress?
Will Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
56% chance
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire in 2024?
1% chance
Will Clarence Thomas leave the supreme court before 2025?
3% chance
Will Clarence Thomas recuse himself from any Trump case before 2025?
5% chance
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
91% chance
If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
45% chance
Will Clarence Thomas rule with the Majority on Jack Smith's Supreme Court petition to see if Donald Trump has immunity?
56% chance
Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?