I am selling my investment before the value of Mana is decreased to a tenth of its current value on May 1 2024.

What is the considered a success?

@Inosen_Infinity Existing government being overthrown

@johnleoks Specifically the Putin regime.

@johnleoks Putin no longer Head of state due to a coup

If that's your criteria, then this market is pretty much just an inverse of this one:

Gonna arbitrage these two a little to even them out.

@Kronopath No, if Putin is simply not re-elected, or Putin dies, both markets resolve NO.