Will a Chinese model top LMArena by EOY 2026?
8
Ṁ2742026
49%
chance
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Background
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if a model from a Chinese labs is listed at the top of the text leaderboard according to the Default sort at any point from now (Oct 23 2025) until EOY 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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