Will AI wipe out Raccoons before the year 2030? | Manifold

Will AI wipe out Raccoons before the year 2030?

Plus

19

Ṁ2160

2030

4%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If raccoons are still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO.

If raccoons are not around but AI(s) are then this market resolves to YES.

If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Always bet on raccoons. If you told them that Russia's gold reserve had poorly secured trash cans in it, they'd be in there within 72 hours. Assholes.

Funny that based on the description if humans wipe out raccoons then this market resolves YES

AI (anything indeed)

@DylanSlagh None of these markets require proof of causation. So if you want to start a worldwide effort to wipe out raccoons, you can make mana if you’re successful I guess?

@DylanSlagh That is only true if AIs are around.

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