This market tries to forecast a possible "end" of the current conflict. Will Israel occupy the Gaza strip like the West Bank? For this market, we only consider official statements by Israel and take them at face value. It does not matter what Israel's enemies claim happens.

Resolves YES if the Gaza strip is governed similarly to the West Bank now. Area A and B style qualify but not Area C. It does not have to be the PNA itself but some equivalent palestinian entity. It could even be called Hamas, but cooperation with Israel is required.

Resolves NO if the Gaza strip is still in a state of war or if Israel has withdrawn or it is like West Bank (Area C).

(In April, Israel celebrates Passover. That felt like a reasonable cutoff month)