Is Gladiator 2 going to be a flop?
Basic
24
Ṁ1959
Jan 11
96%
chance

In Hollywood, the math goes that a movie needs to make twice its budget to not be considered a flop (Hollywood math is wild, but this is to cover marketing, distribution and other “final mile” costs).

The most recent budget report for Gladiator 2 is $250-310million (per Wikipedia). Accordingly, it’d have to make at least $610M worldwide to be considered profitable.

Will Gladiator 2 (2024) make less than $610M in its initial theatrical run? Is the sequel going to flop?

Note: If there is an updated budget for the film (higher or lower), this market will continue with double the upper bound of that new range.

See other flop markets:

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For a 300 million film, I didn't see much marketing for it. Maybe I'm not looking hard enough.

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