A major Democratic presidential candidate will appear on Joe Rogan's podcast before April 10, 2025
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resolved Apr 10
Resolved
NO

Joshua Citarella notes that despite eight years of social media-focused election cycles, "we still do not have one Rogan-style interview of a prominent Democratic candidate." This market resolves YES if any declared Democratic presidential candidate for the 2028 election appears as a guest on The Joe Rogan Experience podcast before April 10, 2025.

For resolution purposes, a "major" candidate is defined as someone who has formally announced their candidacy for the Democratic presidential nomination and is polling at 5% or higher in at least two national polls.

Resolution source: The Joe Rogan Experience on Spotify

  • Update 2025-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Candidacy and Polling Timing Clarification

    • Requirement Deadline: The formal declaration of candidacy and polling at or above 5% in at least two national polls must be achieved by April 10, 2025.

    • Timing Relative to Podcast Appearance: These requirements do not need to occur before the candidate's appearance on the podcast.

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@creator do the requirements of declaring ones candidacy, and two polls > 5%, have to be before the appearance, or just any time before April 10?

What if they declare their candidacy on the podcast?

@DanielTilkin The requirements of declaring candidacy and polling >5% need to be met before April 10, 2025. They don’t necessarily have to be before the podcast appearance itself. If a candidate declares their candidacy on the podcast, as long as the polling shows >5% before the April 10 deadline, the conditions would be met. Hope that clears it up

When would this resolve? Wait until the 2028 elections?

@wasabipesto Question closesApr 10, 2025, 2:00:00 A

@meineusername I see that. I don't think anyone will have formally announced their candidacy for the 2028 election in the next month. If there are no valid candidates at the close date, will this resolve No?

@wasabipesto That is correct! Thanks for the question! And patience :) - just starting to "create questions" with AI's help - need to pay more attention to details :)

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