What gender(s) will I think I am by 2026?
What gender(s) will I think I am by 2026?
Basic
9
Ṁ1802026
74%
Male
75%
Masc-leaning
27%
Female
21%
Fem-leaning
61%
Non-binary
32%
Agender
10%
Both male and female
27%
Genderfluid
Update 2025-24-01 (PST): - Male and female are subcategories of masc-leaning and fem-leaning (AI summary of creator comment)
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A few clarifying questions:
What gender(s) are you currently?
What gender(s) were you assigned at birth?
If there was a change, how long ago was it?
Do you have strong reason to believe it will change again?
Are masc/fem-leaning mutually exclusive with male/female, or is the latter a subcategory of the former?
@TheAllMemeingEye
male
male
n/a
no
kinda
male and female are subcategories of masc-leaning and fem-leaning
@metachirality thanks 👍
6 answers for 5 questions, hmm 🤔
I'm assuming answer number 4 is meant to be "no, kinda"?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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