[ACX 2024] Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?
Plus
67
Ṁ12kDec 21
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, for the total period made up of the months of January 2024 through November 2024, inclusive, the sales share of light duty plug-in vehicles (PEVs) is greater than 11% in the United States according to data published by Argonne National Laboratory.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Tesla's market share of EVs sold in the US be above 50% in 2024?
20% chance
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
55% chance
Will Rivian Automotive Inc deliver more than 55k electric vehicles in 2024?
62% chance
How many EVs will be sold in the US in 2024?
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
57% chance
Discourse 2024: U.S. electric vehicle sales increase to nearly 2 million?
59% chance
What will be the % of EVs sold in China compared to the US in 2024?
Will Tesla's market share of EVs sold in the US be above 50% in 2025?
31% chance
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
60% chance
What will be the global share of new cars sold that are electric?