Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
Basic
23
Ṁ16132027
51%
Gukesh D
7%
Fabiano Caruana
6%
Arjun Erigaisi
6%
Ding Liren
5%
Magnus Carlsen
2%
Hikaru Nakamura
1.9%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
1.8%
Alireza Firouzja
1.7%
Praggnanandhaa R
1.5%
Other
1.4%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
This market refers to this event: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026.
An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.
I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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