This market will resolve to one of the following options:

1. Durov does not jump bail (or tries but fails)

2. First country where Durov is confirmed to be hiding.

3. Unknown / no clear consensus

Resolution Criteria

1. Resolves to "does not jump bail (or tries but fails)" if any of the following is true:

• He remains within France continuously until December 31st, 2024. Any part of France counts, including overseas territories like French Guiana.

• Durov leaves France but fails to spend at least one continuous week outside the country.

• The French government transfers him to another country to stand trial.

• French authorities formally allow him to leave France, regardless of whether legal proceedings against him are still ongoing. This includes scenarios like France releasing him as part of a prisoner exchange with Russia.

• Durov passes away before he has a chance to leave/escape France, regardless of how this happens.

2. First country where Durov is confirmed to be hiding:

• The market will resolve to the first country where Durov seeks refuge or otherwise establishes residence outside of France for at least one continuous week by December 31st, 2024.

• Transit stops don't count, only places where Durov intends to stay. If a similar market existed for Snowden back in 2013, it would've resolved to Russia rather than Hong Kong, as Russia was Snowden's final hiding destination.

• If Durov stays in multiple countries, the market resolves to the first country where he stays for at least a week, even if he later moves elsewhere.

• Later extraditions don't matter. So if he goes back to the UAE with the intention of hiding there but they send him back to France after a few weeks, the market will still resolve to the UAE.

Sources used to resolve the market, in order of priority:

1. Official statements by the French government

2. Durov's statements on his social media channels

3. Official statements by a country where Durov has taken refuge: If neither the French government nor Durov makes a clear statement, an official statement from the government of the country where Durov has sought refuge can be used.

4. Clear consensus among major media outlets: If no official statements are available from the above sources, the market will rely on a clear consensus among major media outlets to determine Durov's location.

3. Will resolve to unknown if:

• No clear information about his location/status is available from the list of sources above.

• Multiple reports of equal credibility exist without a clear consensus.