Update 2025-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A key condition for actions by OpenAI relevant to this market is:
OpenAI must be recognized as inventing it (e.g., the product, discovery, or concept).
Update 2025-10-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Convert into for-profit": This will resolve YES even if the non-profit board still controls the company after the conversion.
Update 2025-10-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Convert into for-profit": This will resolve YES even if the non-profit board still controls the company after the conversion. The resolution is based on whether OpenAI converts to a for-profit public benefit corporation structure.
Update 2025-10-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Convert into for-profit": The resolution is not contingent on whether the non-profit board retains control. The market resolves based on whether OpenAI converts to a for-profit public benefit corporation structure, regardless of governance arrangements.
Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Convert into for-profit": The creator will resolve YES based on:
The nonprofit board now has limited control (not full control)
OpenAI operates more like any other for-profit company
The conversion to a for-profit public benefit corporation structure is sufficient for YES resolution, regardless of remaining nonprofit governance
1,000
3.00For any new cool answers created (different from the ones listed, about something interesting and reasonably likely) of OpenAI I'll personally send 300 mana to the creator!
@patrik why? it's still governed by the non profit, which is what was being talked about in the article you linked in the comments.
@256 the structure it converted is referred to as "for-profit public benefit corporation". i'm going based of that.
@256 yeah but it's not like the "non-profit" board has actually zero profit incentive and as such makes the entire company non-profit (assuming that's what the question was actually about)
@patrik what are you talking about? now the non profit is not non profit enough for you?
their announcement tweet makes things pretty clear.
@256 like, the company had a for profit subsidiary since way before you made the market. what has changed exactly?
@256 1) the nonprofit board has now limited control 2) they operate lot more like any other for-profit now 3) get a life
@patrik Any of therese would qualify:
~same quality as Sora but at least 6 times cheaper,
much better quality and coherence (like hitting 1175 Elo on this leaderboard),
generating videos of 4 minutes or longer at the ~same quality as Sora
Would not qualitfy: just adding image to video / video to video on the ~same model, increased rate limits
@Fynn That's cool didn't know they're planning that https://www.theverge.com/openai/648130/openai-social-network-x-competitor
For any new cool answers created (different from the ones listed, about something interesting and reasonably likely) of OpenAI I'll personally send 300 mana to the creator!