Will Luigi Mangione ultimately be the actual shooter of Brian Thompson?
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9
Ṁ4272025
95%
chance
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Luigi Mangione was arrested today in connection with the murder of Brian Thompson. This market is to predict whether he’s the right guy.
This market will resolve ‘yes’ if charges are formalized and he is brought to trial or pleads out. This market will not be to predict whether he will be ultimately convicted at trial.
This market will resolve ‘no’ if he’s released and charges dropped.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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