Will ConsenSys experience an "exit" in 2025?
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Plus
3
Ṁ250
2026
39%
chance

"Exit" means standard large, transitions from relative liquidity to lots of liquidity in a moment like via M&A, IPO, ICO, etc.

I am asking because I want a clean signal of if I should hold on to my options in the company or exercise them and sell the underlying shares in the secondary market.

This question resolves YES in a case where there's a large liquidity event that option holders like me would be able to participate in. I can already sell the shares on secondary and I don't care about things like that in this question. You shouldn't have to think about me at all here because even if I sell via secondary markets, I'll resolve this market to what ended up happening to the ConsenSys.

An edge case I can see is if there's some kind of token offering. I would say the market will resolve to YES if that token is akin to/intended to be a replacement for equity and the remaining shares are worthless somehow and NO if the token is some partial substitute like a project within ConsenSys launching a token or doesn't benefit ex-employee shareholders..

Entity in question is techincally ConsenSys Software Inc.

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I’ve seen several reports that ‘IPOs are back’ in 2025. Paired with Trump presidency being arguably good for crypto - this seems more likely than it has been for the past few years.

Still not sure about > 50% in 2025. I’d buy yes at like 30%

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