Will the Nintendo Switch 2 be hacked within 12 months of its release date?
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"hacked" means being able to run homebrew games - as an arbitrary concrete example, it must be able to run a Chocolate Doom port https://github.com/lantus/chocolate-doom-nx . Running as javascript or wasm within the web browser doesn't count, it must involve arbitrary native code execution.

An unreleased or one-off hack performed by a security researcher doesn't count, it needs to be a publicly available hack, usable by hobbyists. Hardware hacks such as modchips still count.

"Flashcarts" that are only capable of playing existing commercial games do not count as homebrew.

Disclosure: I am myself a security researcher, who has contributed to the switch homebrew scene in the past. There's a good chance I'll end up working towards hacking the switch 2, too.

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this market is super overvalued rn

filled a แน€100 NO at 81% order

@retr0id Seriously, it's wild

@retr0id Definitely not to the point of less than 20%.

@noney well, I'll let the market be the judge of that (fwiw when I made that comment it was around 90%)

@noney i put a NO order up

@Robincvgr very well, it's me against you for now.

I'm hoping it is hackable but it seems they've made it much harder.

bought แน€2,500 YES

Within 24h

@noney lol i think OP is aware of this :P

@Robincvgr

Oh I know just putting it here to rouse interest ๐Ÿ˜‰

sold แน€38 NO

exiting my position at a small loss so I can be more impartial at resolution time, I won't bet in this market in future.

Updated the end date, and removed over-detailed definition of "switch 2" since we know that's what it's actually called now.

The Switch 1โ€™s software was completely impenetrable. The only reason we got homebrew at all was the unpatchable hardware hole in Nvidiaโ€™s Tegra. Even now, to hack a Switch without that exploit requires a hard mod.

Nintendo tends to be pretty proactive with shutting hardmods down. How โ€˜publicโ€™ does it have to be to count?

@Guess If a compatible modchip could be bought on aliexpress or similar, that'd count

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