Will any Manifold markets created in 2023 be resolved in 2050 by the original author?
Plus
16
Ṁ12922050
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There are lots of markets ending in 2050.
Resolves N/A if Manifold changes such that creators are no longer able to resolve markets (e.g. if AI does it).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
How many Manifold markets will be created in 2024?
Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
59% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?
78% chance
Will Prize Markets still exist on Manifold markets on Jan 1, 2025?
7% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?
72% chance
By March 15, 2025, will Manifold users still have the authority to resolve markets they have traded on?
76% chance
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
84% chance
Will Manifold Markets exist in 2025?
99% chance
Will Manifold market creators and maintainers have the ability to manage their markets well, by mid 2025?
43% chance
Will someone with a fields medal make a Manifold market by end of 2024?
10% chance