Will Destiny surpass HasanAbi's number of YouTube subscribers within 1 year from today?
Will Destiny surpass HasanAbi's number of YouTube subscribers within 1 year from today?
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10
Ṁ769Apr 1
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Started in March 2024. Resolves NO if Hasan has higher subscriber count at the end of March 2025.
comparing
https://www.youtube.com/@HasanAbi/videos
to
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Hasan 204k subscribers so Destiny much higher
https://www.youtube.com/@hasan/videos
Do you mean
https://www.youtube.com/@HasanAbi/videos
?
I believe so too. It is now clearer with HasanAbi in the question title. I would probably have also put a link(s) in the description but that is probably not necessary now..
Will Destiny have more subscribers than Hasan at any point before EOY 2027?60%
Similar question with a different ending date!
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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