1.00This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk is officially nominated or appointed to a U.S. Cabinet position by June 30, 23:59 PST, 2025, as confirmed by a credible and verifiable source, such as an official government announcement or a major news outlet.
It is not necessary for Musk to accept or serve in the position; the nomination or appointment alone is sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. If no such nomination or appointment is made by the deadline, the market will resolve to “No.”
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Are people interpreting very differently then me?
Cabinet position means something specific, and DOGE isn't a cabinet department, announcment even refers to it as "outside the government"
Elon instead going to the "Department of Government Efficiency"
Polymarket is at 20%: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-wins-and-appoints-elon-musk-to-cabinet?tid=1731124727072
Calling it now: It's going to be either Special Advisor to the President or Special Envoy of the President
Will the designation of Elon Musk as an "acting" or "performing the duties of" Cabinet officer (see https://ourpublicservice.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/The-Replacements-1.pdf) resolve this market to YES?
@octothorpe I think not. That seems distinct from the resolution criteria, which points at an unambiguous thing: "officially nominated or appointed to a U.S. Cabinet position"
That being said, Musk will not be in the Cabinet.
Trump said: “He doesn’t want to be in the Cabinet, he just wants to be in charge of cost-cutting. We’ll have a new position, secretary of cost-cutting, Elon wants to do that.”
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