What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Plus
22
Ṁ17182026
32%
It is #1 in Elo according to Chatbot Arena Leaderboard
55%
Its main name is GPT-5
75%
It will have Video(Input) modality
62%
It will have Video(Output) modality
91%
It will have Audio(Input) modality
78%
It will have Audio(Output) modality
19%
It will have been released in H1 2025
74%
It will have been released in H2 2025
46%
It can score Bronze or higher on IMO
49%
It has an anthropomorphic name
"Best" refers to on December 31st, 2024.
Similar market(s):
Update 2025-27-01 (PST): - Best is defined as the model that is #1 in Elo according to the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard as of December 31st, 2024. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Bayesian Definition? Is this just saying it's considered one of the set of the most capable models, however that's defined?
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