Will exactly 2 AI labs announce Gold on the IMO 2025?
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Ṁ802Jul 27
36%
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Update 2025-07-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a user question, the creator has stated this market will be handled the same as another of their markets. This implies:
The close date is not hard, and the market may be resolved later when the outcome is certain.
The market is open to re-resolution if the initial resolution is later found to be incorrect.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I just realized this market is useless, might have had some use with "will less than 3" or "will 2 or less" or something
https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ai-imo-2025-how-many-ai-labs-announ?r=QmF5ZXNpYW4
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