Will Israel annex part of Palestine by the end of 2025?
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2026
35%
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The market resolves YES if through some official channel, Israel proclaims its sovereignty over territory of Palestine hitherto outside its domain, before 2026.

Resolves NO on December 31st, 2025 otherwise.

See also:
/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-by

/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-the-wes
/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-part-of-palestine (This market)
/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-in

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@Bayesian I expect resolution of these markets may at some point depend on the difference between de facto and de jure annexation. Can you give us some indication of whether you intend to also resolve yes for de facto annexation, even without de jure annexation (at this time)?

"We are being blessed with the opportunity, thank God, of seeing an expansion of the borders of the land of Israel, on all fronts," he said. "We are being blessed with the opportunity to blot out the seed of Amalek, a process which is intensifying."

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/israel-west-bank-settlements-1.7547426

The second most powerful person in the Israeli government is speaking of current events as an expansion of the borders of Israel.

Closing the market as I deliberate on whether the current thing counts

@Bayesian Obviously settlement expansion isn’t annexation. Israel hasn’t proclaimed sovereignty in any of Area C including the parts with settlements.

@nathanwei thank you for that explanation. Just making sure, they are settling onto land that they don't have sovereignty over and aren't claiming sovereignty over?

"I think that Israel is a few steps from declaring this area as Israeli territory. They believe that this period will never be coming back, this is one opportunity that they don't want to slip from their hands - that's why they're doing this now," Mr Ben Kimon told the BBC's Newshour programme.

Supports this

bought Ṁ50 NO

Buffer zones don't count? NO then.

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