Will Israel fully annex the west bank by 2045?
➕
Plus
14
Ṁ4983
2045
26%
chance

Resolves yes if Israel officially declares all of the west bank to be part of Israel and Israeli citizens have freedom to move and settle throughout the whole territory

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ500 NO

@MalachiteEagle I really doubt that these will end up being built. It seems like another attempt to expand the Abraham Accords by threatening annexation. They need to go through tons of legal hurdles that will take years, and a much less right-government is going to win the elections which have to happen by EOY 2026. Even if they are, and even if Israel goes further and annexes Area C, that doesn't mean Israeli citizens will have to freedom to settle in Ramallah. If that happens then it will take more than 20 years.

There may be two states

There may be one, with some partial Palestinian autonomy or multiple small Palestinian Emirates

Israel may be destroyed

Or the status qwo may simple remain for another generation

Or something stranger may happen

But the market give >50% to Israel annexation of a land currently with hostile population comparable to its own in size?? Is it a prediction, or just a costly political statement?

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