Will NASA's Artemis program land astronauts on the moon by the end of 2025?
Will NASA's Artemis program land astronauts on the moon by the end of 2025?
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@BillMotz the close date for this market should be in 2025. Probably it'd be better suited for the end of 2025, given that NASA's current plans as described in this space.com article are to land astronauts in either 2025 or 2026.
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@duck_master And if it's the end of 2025, the title should say "by the end of 2025" or "by 2026", not "by 2025", which is usually interpreted as "before the start of 2025", meaning the same thing as "by end of year 2024".
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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