The restored subject must have previously been declared legally dead. For a positive resolution, the restored subject must be awake, be able to communicate, and live for at least one month. They also must have been declared dead for at least one month. The resolution criteria of this market will not be dependent on whether the restored subject retains their personal identity/memories.
Update: 2023-02-13: A digital mind upload is not sufficient to merit a positive resolution.
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1,000
3.00Must not this be a subset (upload doesn't count) of the "restored" be version of this question and thus lower probability?
"Update: 2023-02-13: A digital mind upload is not sufficient to merit a positive resolution."
Huge update. I'm selling my yes shares because this is assuming a lot more about future society, etc, and I'm not sure about it.
>2:1 odds that there's some fundamental issue that makes this way harder than people expect seems like a good deal to me
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and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00