If a human preserved through cryonics is successfully brought back to life before 2100, how will it happen first?
If a human preserved through cryonics is successfully brought back to life before 2100, how will it happen first?
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Uploading: extracting info from the neurons to use in a computer or a new body.
Repair: Getting the original neurons to function, or replacing them in-situ with artificial ones.
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I anticipate a long spectrum from let’s chill this person while we do the surgery to let’s really chill this person while we transport organs for the surgery to let’s really seriously chill this person while we print the organs for the surgery, maybe put a bit of glycol in there to let’s get this person genuinely cold while we work out how to do the surgery. Where in this spectrum with the market resolve?
@HastingsGreer the person has to be legally dead for a month and then brought back to consciousness
"Brought back to consciousness" sounds better.
Not all life criterias would be valid in uploading case.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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