Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025? | Manifold

Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?

Plus

17

Ṁ24k

Jan 1

15%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From CFS website:
Commonwealth Fusion Systems is collaborating with MIT’s Plasma Science and Fusion Center to build SPARC, the world’s first fusion device that produces plasmas which generate more energy than they consume, becoming the first net-energy fusion machine. SPARC will pave the way for carbon-free, safe, limitless, fusion power. This compact, high-field tokamak will be built with high temp superconducting (HTS) magnets, allowing for a smaller device than previous magnet technology. SPARC is an important step to accelerate the development of commercial fusion energy.

Read more here.

https://cfs.energy/technology/sparc

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ25 NO

@JakobBrunker The title asks about the end of 2025, while the close date for the market is the start of 2025. Which is it?

@SergeyDavidoff I think you meant to ping @CharlesCarriere instead of me

@SergeyDavidoff When I initially set this up, I wanted to have people make their predictions prior to the beginning of 2025, with the market resolving at the end of 2025 depending on the outcome of the reactor tests.

Does this actually require the reactor to produce electricity? Or are we just talking about Q_plasma?

@JakobBrunker Q_plasma. No need for them to produce electricity.

Related questions

Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2029?

Will General Fusion's MTF machine achieve fusion conditions above 100mm degrees Celsius by 12/31/2025?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?

When will fusion power become viable?

Will Commonwealth Fusion System's SPARC fusion reactor achieve "commercially relevant net energy from fusion" by Jan 1st, 2026?

Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?

Related questions

Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?

Will Commonwealth Fusion System's SPARC fusion reactor achieve "commercially relevant net energy from fusion" by Jan 1st, 2026?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2029?

Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?

Will General Fusion's MTF machine achieve fusion conditions above 100mm degrees Celsius by 12/31/2025?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

When will fusion power become viable?

Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules