Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025? | Manifold

Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?

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predictedNO

Is this about the energy that goes into the plasma or the total input energy?

predictedYES

@Daniel_MC Great clarifying question. The energy that goes into the plasma is what I am looking at. This is likely way simpler to calculate and communicate.

@CharlesCarriere awesome thanks for clarifying

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Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?

Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?

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Will we get fusion reactors before 2029?

Will 2 more parties claim to have achieved net gains in fusion energy by 2026?

Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?

Will General Fusion's MTF machine achieve fusion conditions above 100mm degrees Celsius by 12/31/2025?

Will humanity produce it’s first in lab net positive fusion energy breakthrough by end 2028 ?

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