Will NASA astronauts be walking on the Moon by July 20th, 2029?
Will NASA astronauts be walking on the Moon by July 20th, 2029?
Basic
9
Ṁ2302029
37%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
On This Week in Space episode 120, Tariq Malik predicted that NASA astronauts would land on the moon once again on or before July 20th, 2029, and offered to give Rod Pyle his Star Trek chair if this does not happen. This market serves to document and forecast this bet.
If this occurs before midnight July 21 2029 Eastern time, this market will resolve as YES. Otherwise, it will resolve as NO. An astronaut must have physically touched down on the moon by this time, being on the way, orbiting, or simply landing will not be sufficient.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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