Will Trump's import tariffs on Canada and Mexico be in effect and at least at 25% by EOY?
15
Ṁ478
Dec 31
25%
chance

If there are import tariffs from the US on both Canada and Mexico that are 25% or higher by Jan 1 2026 this resolves to 'yes'. Otherwise 'no'.

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Is that 25% or higher on at least one type of good? On all goods, even taking into account exemptions? On the average of all imports to that country?

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