What will happen to Trump's tariff war in 2025? (Add answers)
10
Ṁ402Dec 31
99%
Trump will make and sign a deal with at least one country
73%
Trump will back down against China.
50%
Trump will make with intent to sign a deal with China
50%
Trump will make with intent to sign a deal with Canada
50%
Trump will make with intent to sign a deal with Mexico
46%
Trump will make with intent to sign a deal with the EU
11%
Trump will unpause "reciprocal tariffs" after 90 days.
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves based on Trump's tariff policies and actions in 2025. I encourage those who add questions to comment with their resolution criteria. Otherwise I will apply my own judgement and precisify where I can.
Update 2025-04-11 (PST): - Affected Countries: Reciprocal tariffs should be applied with a threshold covering at least 70% of the relevant countries. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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