Will go be solved before 2040?
Plus
35
Ṁ33542039
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Conditional on humanity surviving until 2040, will go be solved before then?
Close date updated to 2039-12-30 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Go is exptime-complete, so this seems unlikely to be possible.
@MartinRandall Score maximization, or equivalently, what komi is necessary for White to win.
Tromp-Taylor or any common ruleset.
@MartinRandall There are more than a googolplex of possible go games on a 19x19 board. I know, most of them don't need to be considered, but remaining search space is still more than enormous.
@MartinRandall The alternative is that you're basically testing a given komi to see which side wins.
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
50% chance
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
39% chance
Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
25% chance
Will chess be solved by 2040?
15% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
25% chance
Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
70% chance
What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)
Will chess be solved by 2100?
30% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
38% chance
Will P vs NP be resolved by 2043?
30% chance