Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24h of his inauguration?
Basic
15
Ṁ1084Jan 20
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They’re dying, Russians and Ukrainians. I want them to stop dying. And I’ll have that done — I’ll have that done in 24 hours. - Donald J. Trump
Resolution Criteria
End of War: Defined as a mutually agreed ceasefire or peace agreement signed by Ukraine and Russia.
Timeline: The agreement must be signed within 24 hours of Trump’s inauguration.
Verification: Confirmation from recognized news sources or statements from official government sources in Ukraine, Russia, and the U.S.
Sister market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@GazDownright it wasn't my market, I just comment with arbitrage opportunities whenever I see a big difference with prices. At the moment nothing seems crazy to me, but here's the market:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump End the Ukraine War Within 90 days of Taking Office? [see description]
32% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
70% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 days of his inauguration?
14% chance
Will Vladimir Putin step foot in Ukraine by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Trump End the Israel-Hamas War Within 100 days of Taking Office? [Polymarket]
72% chance
Will Trump End the War in Ukraine Within 90 Days of Taking Office?
35% chance
Will Trump solve the Russia-Ukraine war within a day of his election?
5% chance
If Trump wins, will the war in Ukraine end before Jan 20 2025?
9% chance
Trump will end the Russia/Ukraine war in 24 hours
4% chance
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
48% chance