Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032? | Manifold

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?

Plus

69

Ṁ56k

2032

86%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Technical AI Timelines

#IMO Grand Challenge

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

predictedYES

https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphageometry-an-olympiad-level-ai-system-for-geometry/

this is way too high

predictedNO

just checking: it is intentional that this is until the start of 2032, while all other IMO markets are until the end of the year they mention?

Related questions

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?

Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?

Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?

When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?

Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Related questions

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?

Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?

When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?

Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?

Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules