1,000
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44% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
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Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
72% chance
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9% chance
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1% chance
Will Starship go to the Moon before 2026?
1% chance
Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027?
5% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
27% chance
When will Starship land on Mars?
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
9% chance