Will Trump outlive Biden? (natural causes)
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Plus
19
Ṁ2993
2146
90%
chance

N/A in other cases

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Ṁ1,000
and
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Do both of them have to die of natural causes for this to not resolve N/A (in which case it won't resolve until both are dead), or only the one that dies first?

An extremely naive simulation, using actuarial tables alone, predicts that Trump will die first in around 60% of cases.

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