How will Donald Trump die? (Before age 100)

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Ṁ2331

2046

22%

Heart attack or other cardiac condition

21%

Any unambiguously homicidal injury (e.g. assassination by gunshot, polonium poisoning), but not including war, riot, coup, etc.

17%

Cancer

11%

Any unambiguously accidental injury (e.g. slip and fall in public)

Dementia, stroke, or other non-infectious brain condition

Suicide or "apparent" suicide (e.g. Epstein would count)

Explosive diarrhea

Other

(None; still alive at age 100)

Act of war, civil war, riot, coup, violent political unrest, martial law, etc.

1.7%

Infection, sepsis, or other microbial condition

1.7%

Judicially-imposed death penalty (martial law doesn't count)

1.5%

Any "plausibly deniable" injury by infamous means (e.g. falling out a window like a Russian oligarch)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Trump Assassination Attempt

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@KarlK For his age, Trump is extremely healthy. Put the memes aside — he regularly exercises (golf), travels (a lot of moving from place to place, not sitting on the couch), and stands for long periods of time (press conferences, rallies). His family has no history of cardiac conditions. His father lived to be 93; his mother 88. Both died of a sudden illness that their immune systems just couldn’t handle anymore. BTW - same way his brother died.

An actual doctor would probably put the odds of cardiac failure of close to none.

@FoxKHTML If you think he'll live longer than 100, there's an option for that.

@KarlK Nah I mean he’ll probably die of some random illness in 10 years. Just not cardiac related

@FoxKHTML So can I sell you an "infection, sepsis, or other microbial condition"?

@KarlK No, this is a sick market

sold Ṁ4 YES

@FoxKHTML I mean, he's still very visibly overweight and has a known affection for Big Macs

@TheAllMemeingEye He’s not any more overweight than your average 78 year old. He appears more overweight than he is because he has no muscle mass, same as other old people.

bought Ṁ5 YES

Would a car crash count as unambiguously accidental or other?

@TheAllMemeingEye Depends on the crash; some are deliberate. (Fictional example: Thelma & Louise.)

@KarlK does it count as unambiguously accidental if there's no real evidence that it was intentional but all his supporters keep pushing a conspiracy theory claiming it was an orchestrated assassination attempt?

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