Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?
22
Ṁ19742100
53%
Alexei Kitaev
39%
Jamie Joyce
34%
Daniel Sheehan
26%
Daniel Hillis
16%
Robert Kennedy Jr.
15%
Robin Hanson
9%
9%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
8%
Balaji Srinivasan
6%
Jack Dorsey
6%
Elon Musk
6%
Donald Trump
4%
John Preskill
Will resolve 'yes' when individuals win Nobel Prize.
Will resolve 'no' when they die.
Posthumously winning does not count for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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