Will a model get 1500 elo on lmarena (lmsys) before May 2025
7
Ṁ833May 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a model has achieved 1500 elo on lmarena (lmsys) before May 1st 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000and
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