Will Artemis II launch before July 2025?
Will Artemis II launch before July 2025?
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Release of the launch clamps after ignition counts as a launch.
Will Artemis II launch by the end of 2024?NO
Will Artemis II launch before July 2025?NO
Will Artemis II launch before 2026?3%
Will Artemis II launch before 2027?35%
See also:
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2026?7%
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?45%
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2026?20%
SEO: Artemis 2
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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