By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
Plus
17
Ṁ7072030
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
That is, in 2030, will Chinese chip companies offer commercial/enterprise GPUs for sale flops/$ performance within 20% of peak flops/$ of any commercial/enterprise GPU sold by non-Chinese companies?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
45% chance
Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
26% chance
Will WebGPU become an out-of-the-box protocol provided by mainline PC graphics drivers by 2025?
2% chance
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
33% chance
Will China ever surpass US gdp?
62% chance
By 2030 will China have reached AI flops/$ parity with the US?
37% chance
Will China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
38% chance
In which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?
Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?
61% chance
Will China develop domestic GPU with comparable performance to NVIDIA H100 by 2026?
86% chance