Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be returned to the US in 2025?
78
Ṁ19kDec 31
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, for at least one day between now and December 31, 2025, Abrego Garcia is alive, not incarcerated, and legally present in the US (not in an airport transit area or something like that, but actually free to move about the country). Otherwise resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@RobertKennedy Good question. Free means out of jail so your hypothetical would resolve NO. I will edit to clarify.
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the outcome of the saga around the deportation of Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia during the 2nd Trump term?
Will El Salvador return Kilmar Ábrego García to the United States before the end of 2025?
43% chance
Kilmer Abrego Garcia returns to US or is alive New Years 2026?
92% chance
Will kilmar abrego garcia step foot in the USA again by the end of 2025?
50% chance
Will the Trump administration deport a US citizen to El Salvador this year?
46% chance
Will Kilmar Ábrego García appear publicly with any 2028 presidential candidate?
33% chance
Will the US knowingly deport at least one citizen to El Salvador for imprisonment by EOY2025?
46% chance
[Flash poll] Do you support the return of Abrego Garcia to the US?
POLL
Will we learn that a person who has been deported to El Salvador by March 17th was an American citizen?
3% chance
Will Mahmoud Khalil be deported from the US or leave it due to harassment by the end of 2025?
59% chance