Will the Insurrection Act be invoked next presidential term (2025-2029)?
Basic
5
Ṁ1352029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
26%
If Trump is elected
Resolved
N/AIf Harris is elected
Needs to be formally invoked
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the National Guard be deployed to assist law enforcement at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th, 2025?
23% chance
Will the next President [Trump] be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
18% chance
Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?
18% chance
Will Biden be impeached by 2025?
3% chance
[Metaculus] Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?
5% chance
Will there be a US presidential inauguration on January 20, 2025?
98% chance
If Trump is elected, will the National Guard be called out in response to rioting on or before Inauguration Day?
43% chance
Will Trump declare Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
41% chance
Will the next president be impeached?
43% chance
Conditional on Trump/Biden winning the 2024 presidential, will there be a large scale rioting in the US before 2026 ?