Will Dan Hendrycks believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will Dan Hendrycks believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?

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Dec 31

23%

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Eager to hear from Dan Hendrycks what he would be some of the criteria he is looking for that would cause this to resolve as Yes!

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I feel like he's the wrong person to ask. If he's publicly associated with it, it would be really awkward for him to say something bad about it.

https://manifold.markets/Alana/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-believe-xai?r=QWxhbmE

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?

50% chance. Just like in the Dan Hendrycks market, it’d be great if Eliezer could provide/suggest some likely criteria for this!

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